Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 35.346439 38.191756 41.313642 45.023773 49.354239 54.302476 60.464601
2025-08-31 31.200089 34.899550 39.224145 44.753838 51.795800 60.708419 73.290323
2025-09-07 29.005860 33.183386 38.277169 45.132682 54.446684 67.236676 87.387846
2025-09-14 27.011988 31.387549 36.883593 44.562083 55.521608 71.594548 99.467531
2025-09-21 25.152098 29.547594 35.186317 43.281491 55.272830 73.793751 108.614984
2025-09-28 23.712538 28.115487 33.866473 42.321102 55.268340 76.252295 118.984797
2025-10-05 23.479891 28.228245 34.601927 44.323156 60.024348 87.617216 152.652442
2025-10-12 22.876535 27.784167 34.506469 45.050769 62.812481 96.207039 186.346533
2025-10-19 22.347354 27.396285 34.443267 45.794062 65.715723 105.862937 232.454112
2025-10-26 21.806408 26.951084 34.250907 46.291112 68.236571 115.535427 292.328949
2025-11-02 21.078339 26.196226 33.540785 45.857226 68.921866 121.193960 346.657695
2025-11-09 20.213229 25.202566 32.410369 44.616708 67.850444 122.172278 380.428204
2025-11-16 19.397640 24.289504 31.419102 43.652811 67.459621 125.597238 446.490413
2025-11-23 18.796815 23.666247 30.843929 43.372159 68.476322 133.560969 589.170834
2025-11-30 18.391852 23.306625 30.649354 43.732459 70.914933 147.091654 937.154812
2025-12-07 17.826943 22.680869 29.993387 43.192045 71.258235 154.137990 1377.470331
2025-12-14 17.162873 21.879509 29.014977 41.978438 69.873960 154.556009 1734.057296
2025-12-21 16.603892 21.216420 28.228796 41.067364 69.088792 157.070619 2506.344761
2025-12-28 16.635569 21.447157 28.901530 42.965726 75.452231 193.237928 NaN
2026-01-04 16.431110 21.304657 28.947468 43.654813 78.963172 221.521841 NaN
2026-01-11 16.239172 21.171901 28.999453 44.358291 82.701743 257.033321 NaN
2026-01-18 16.017084 20.981715 28.941107 44.828458 85.920439 296.026078 NaN
2026-01-25 15.663702 20.570812 28.481312 44.418050 86.451095 316.853341 NaN